Summarizing the Gaza War
After all the bloodshed and polemics it’s easy to forget what has actually happened with the Gaza war.
Prior to October 7 Israel was in a pretty good situation that seemed likely to get better. They had relations with several Arab countries and the prize of a relationship with Saudi Arabia seemed to be in the offing. Palestinians weren’t the main topic, but they stood to gain leverage they didn’t have before.
Hamas was desperate to prevent all that. Any moves toward peace were the enemy of a purified Islamic state in Palestine. On October 7 they carried out the most horrifying and offensive attack possible, with killing of children in front of their parents (and then killing the parents) as well as rapes and anything else they could think of. The objective was to provoke an Israeli reaction that would torpedo the looming progress.
The Israeli government was certainly capable of understanding what was going on. However instead of the obvious reaction-whatever we do we do we’re not going to let Hamas dictate our future-they did exactly the opposite. Why was that? (Contrary to the usual rhetoric this was not a fight for Israel’s existence.)
Simply put, Israel’s interest and Netanyahu’s interest were not the same. Netanyahu’s long-standing support of Hamas (as a counterweight to the Palestinian Authority) and his negligence of reported threats were directly responsible for the success of the Hamas attacks. And despite his denials, all polls indicated that the Israeli population understood that. So he had a problem. And the only way out was a great big war.
From that point on, the interests of Hamas and Netanyahu once again coincided. The more civilians killed the better. For Hamas it made them heroes defending the Arab world against the inhumanity of the Israelis. For Netanyahu it proved that only he was tough enough to do what it takes. (And what’s more, the longer the war the better the chance to bring back his buddy Trump who would support the dictatorial takeover of Israel.)
The interests of Israel however have been lost in the shuffle. Anti-Semitism everywhere is on the rise, with not just relations with the Arab world but even the existence of Israel now active subjects of dispute. Further the stated military objective-the elimination of Hamas-is nowhere near accomplished. Despite the massive destruction and loss of life, it is estimated that Hamas has lost approximately 8,000 of its approximately 30,000-man army. As the tunnels are mostly intact, there is no plan for how to change that.
But this war was never fought for Israel. For Netanyahu it’s not clear how much he has burnished his reputation, but any challenge to his power has been pushed out to the indefinite future. And Hamas is riding high. So we’ve got to call the war a smashing success for its perpetrators. May they both rot in Hell.
Originally published at http://ontheoutside.blog on February 15, 2024.
